A New Perspective on the NCAA Tournament Bubble: Similarity Scores and March Madness

[unable to retrieve full-text content]

Source: www.teamrankings.com --- Wednesday, March 07, 2012
It is officially the best time of year. Selection Sunday is mere days away, and from now until Sunday night, you will hear so many teams put on the bubble that it will stretch the boundaries of metaphorical credulity. Instead of arguing over the RPI and SOS of these teams, parsing their resumes and their bad losses, I?ve decided to look at the group with a fresh perspective: similarity scores. Using the same methodology as the past weeks, I ran similarity scores on five teams that are, as of the games played through Wednesday night, firmly in our bubble discussion. Using this lens, we can see who the bubblers are most similar to from past years, look at whether those teams made the Big Dance, and see if their performance can help us make some March Madness predictions . As you will soon see, one of these teams is not like the others. Drexel?s Similar Teams & Their NCAA Tournament Success Team Year Score Seed Result Utah St. 2011 0.42 12 First Round Stanford 2008 0.45 3 Sweet 16 Georgia 2011 0.45 10 First Round Butler 2009 0.56 9 First Round Nevada 2005 0.6 9 2nd Round Tulsa 2009 0.6 DNQ The Dragons, who lost the CAA autobid to VCU in a thrilling game last Monday, have by far the most close comparison teams that made the NCAA Bracket. Bruiser Flint?s bunch are a great defensive team, and are more than two standard deviations better than the mean in terms of defensive rebounding and effective field goal percentage allowed. Drexel al ...

Source: http://www.teamrankings.com/blog/ncaa-basketball/a-new-perspective-on-the-ncaa-tournament-bubble-similarity-scores-and-march-madness

nhl realignment kristin chenoweth country music awards new earth light year light year michelle rounds